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Scots will head to the polls on May 6 this year to decide the 129 members of the Scottish Parliament. Nicola Sturgeon’s SNP is headed for a record majority, which could cause havoc for Boris Johnson as the First Minister will view the victory as a fresh mandate to push for a second independence vote.
The latest polling by Savanata ComRes predicts Ms Sturgeon’s party will win 71 of the 129 seats in Holyrood, a gain of eight since the 2016 election.
This would give the SNP a comfortable overall majority, having been two seats short in 2016.
It would also mark the party’s biggest ever victory since the devolved government was founded in May 1999.
The only other time the SNP has won a majority in the Scottish Parliament was in 2011, when the party won 69 seats under former leader Alex Salmond.
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The polling also indicates the Tories are set to lose 14 seats in the Scottish parliament, with the Labour Party poised to lose three.
This would leave the Tories on 17 seats and Labour with 21.
The NewStatesman’s forecast model for the May election also tips the SNP to walk away with a majority.
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They expect the SNP to secure nine extra seats, taking the party’s total in Holyrood to 72.
The magazine also forecasts the Tories to lose seven seats, Labour to lose five and the Greens to gain three seats.
The Lib Dems are expected to remain unchanged with five seats.
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A landslide victory for Ms Sturgeon would provide a boost to her hopes of holding a second Scottish independence referendum.
This is because the politician will claim a new mandate for a referendum if the SNP performs strongly in May.
The Savanta ComRes poll also asked how people would vote in a second independence referendum and 57 percent said they would back splitting from the rest of the UK.
The survey was based on responses from 1,016 people in Scotland between January 8 and 13.
The last Scottish referendum was held in 2014, where Scots voted 55-45 percent against independence.
But Ms Sturgeon continues to call for a second vote to be held after Scots voted overwhelming to remain in the EU in the 2016 Brexit referendum.
The Prime Minister has repeatedly ruled out granting Scotland a second independence referendum, as he claims it was a “once in a generation” vote.
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